{"id":84534,"date":"2026-03-10T12:41:32","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T12:41:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/?p=84534"},"modified":"2026-03-20T06:35:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T06:35:34","slug":"will-bitcoin-rise-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/will-bitcoin-rise-again\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Bitcoin rise again in 2026? Price Moves, ETFs, Macro View"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Will_Bitcoin_Rise_Again\"><\/span>Will Bitcoin Rise Again?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin [BTC] has moved up from recent lows, but we&#8217;re not quite out of the waters yet. There\u2019s some support, but the headlines are still calling the shots in the short term. <\/p><div class=\"mudre-content-2\" id=\"mudre-2866378395\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mudrex.go.link\/SY1jU\" aria-label=\"Frame 33 (2)\"><img src=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Frame-33-2.png\" alt=\"\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Frame-33-2.png 928w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Frame-33-2-300x76.png 300w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Frame-33-2-768x194.png 768w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Frame-33-2-150x38.png 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 928px) 100vw, 928px\" width=\"928\" height=\"234\"   \/><\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s the rundown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"TLDR\"><\/span>TL;DR<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>Bitcoin has shown resilience even as <strong>geopolitical happenings shake oil and risk appetite.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Institutional demand has not disappeared, with <strong>favourable ETF numbers<\/strong> in the week gone by.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/converter\/btc\/inr\">BTC price<\/a> is <strong>below recent highs<\/strong>, with market participants staying cautious than confident.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Near term, <strong>Bitcoin is headline-sensitive.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_Is_Bitcoin_Not_Flying_Yet\"><\/span>Why Is Bitcoin Not Flying Yet?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Headlines_take_the_lead\"><\/span>Headlines take the lead<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>At the time of writing, BTC was closely tied to macro signals. Recent developments around the U.S.\u2013Iran conflict narrative pushed markets into risk-sensitive mode. Oil initially dropped as traders reassessed escalation risk, while crypto posted modest gains during the same period. The Kobeissi Letter <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/KobeissiLetter\/status\/2028858539196690691\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">recently noted<\/a> on X that crypto assets are currently moving alongside greater risk sentiment rather than forming an independent narrative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin isn&#8217;t trading in isolation. Oil volatility, war stories and changes are influencing price greatly as it stands. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That does not invalidate the long-term bull case for BTC. However, the recovery may remain uneven rather than a straight move higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_is_recovering_but_not_at_full_speed\"><\/span>Bitcoin is recovering, but not at full speed<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>BTC has moved significantly above its 2022\u20132023 bear-market range, so there is a long-term recovery. However, it is trading below the cycle peak visible near the top of the chart, so the next bullish leg has not yet started.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f4f3f5\" data-has-transparency=\"true\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f4f3f5;\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"693\" src=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BTCUSD_2026-03-10_15-21-24-1024x693.png\" alt=\"will bitcoin rise again\" class=\"has-transparency wp-image-84537\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BTCUSD_2026-03-10_15-21-24-1024x693.png 1024w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BTCUSD_2026-03-10_15-21-24-300x203.png 300w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BTCUSD_2026-03-10_15-21-24-768x520.png 768w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BTCUSD_2026-03-10_15-21-24-1536x1039.png 1536w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BTCUSD_2026-03-10_15-21-24-2048x1385.png 2048w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BTCUSD_2026-03-10_15-21-24-150x101.png 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The RSI is near the mid-40s, so sentiment is neutral. Meanwhile, MACD is negative, so pace isn&#8217;t as fast as it can be. While recovery is underway, there is a lack of faith.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Could_Make_Bitcoin_Rise_Again\"><\/span>What Could Make Bitcoin Rise Again?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"ETF_inflows_are_a_clear_green_light\"><\/span>ETF inflows are a clear green light<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The strongest near-term bullish clue for Bitcoin right now is money continuing to enter spot Bitcoin ETFs. That&#8217;s when institutions and large investors allocate capital to Bitcoin through regulated products. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An understanding of this is critical, because it provides a clear look at actual buying demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"16130f\" data-has-transparency=\"true\" style=\"--dominant-color: #16130f;\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"335\" src=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7085d1df-7877-4460-b6e9-bd2a0dd08ca5-1024x335.png\" alt=\"bitcoin \" class=\"has-transparency wp-image-84542\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7085d1df-7877-4460-b6e9-bd2a0dd08ca5-1024x335.png 1024w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7085d1df-7877-4460-b6e9-bd2a0dd08ca5-300x98.png 300w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7085d1df-7877-4460-b6e9-bd2a0dd08ca5-768x251.png 768w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7085d1df-7877-4460-b6e9-bd2a0dd08ca5-1536x502.png 1536w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7085d1df-7877-4460-b6e9-bd2a0dd08ca5-150x49.png 150w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7085d1df-7877-4460-b6e9-bd2a0dd08ca5.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Recent data from SoSoValue showed weekly total net inflows of about $167.03 million and total net assets of roughly $88.34 billion. Products from BlackRock and Fidelity are leading the move. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is more useful than one strong green candle. Price can bounce for a day on short-covering. ETF inflows however, are harder to fake.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_prolonged_macro_mess_could_actually_help_Bitcoins_long-term_narrative\"><\/span>A prolonged macro mess could actually help Bitcoin\u2019s long-term narrative<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2026\/03\/09\/bitcoin-could-be-the-big-winner-if-the-u-s-iran-conflict-drags-on-for-months\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">recent CoinDesk report<\/a> made a case for war-related benefits. If the U.S.-Iran conflict drags on, war-related deficit spending, rising debt, and lower rates could create a setup that has so far supported BTC. U.S. federal debt grew at roughly 14% annualised since mid-2025, with a possible 15% year-over-year increase if that trend continues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Short term, conflict can increase chaos. The bigger picture, however, is that more debt, more liquidity, and weaker confidence in fiat can increase Bitcoin\u2019s appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Buy Bitcoin in 4 Simple Steps on Mudrex!\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/MLrYrNGgySk?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_This_a_Relief_Bounce_or_Is_A_Bigger_Move_Afoot\"><\/span>Is This a Relief Bounce or Is A Bigger Move Afoot?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_bullish_case\"><\/span>The bullish case<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin has held up relatively well despite the wars of the present times. During the l<a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/iran-war-confusion-sends-oil-tumbling-as-crypto-posts-modest-gains\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">atest geopolitical news cycle <\/a>around Iran, oil prices moved greatly as markets reassessed escalation risks. At the same time, crypto assets managed to post modest gains rather than falling in step with broader risk assets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>BTC demand has clearly not disappeared during tougher times\/macro stress. The ETF data further proves the point. Big players are still allocating capital during price dips.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When global tensions decrease and volatility subsequently falls, Bitcoin could rebuild its upside more quickly than popular traditional risk assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"However%E2%80%A6\"><\/span>However&#8230;<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230; there&#8217;s also the line of thought that crypto markets remain closely tied to macro factors; particularly oil and risk sentiment. That means a short-term bounce may not immediately mean a trend reversal. Markets may still be reacting to headlines rather than fundamentals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If ETF inflows turn red or geopolitical tensions intensify again, Bitcoin could remain trapped in a range-bound structure below major resistance levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_to_watch_next\"><\/span>What to watch next<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Key signals to monitor include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>Bitcoin ETF inflows across multiple sessions<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>whether BTC reclaims and holds major resistance levels<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>whether oil market volatility stabilises<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>whether market behavior goes from headline-influenced moves to organically built risk-on pace.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Simple_Price_Read_What_The_Current_Setup_Says\"><\/span>A Simple Price Read: What The Current Setup Says<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>From recent TradingView data, Bitcoin\u2019s price setup is fairly clear:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Price:<\/strong> BTC has recovered strongly from the 2022-2023 low zone, but it is still trading below the recent peak area shown near the top of the chart.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>RSI:<\/strong> The monthly RSI is around the mid-40s, which means<strong> <\/strong>neutral-to-soft momentum.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MACD:<\/strong> The monthly MACD is below the signal line and below zero, which means momentum is still weak and upside needs stronger confirmation.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Structure:<\/strong> The broader structure is still healthier than it was during the bear market, but the short-term trend has not yet confirmed a full breakout.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Coinmarketcap Top20 Index supports the same. While crypto sentiment looks positive, it isn&#8217;t quite euphoric. The market is participating, but not chasing gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"eef1f5\" data-has-transparency=\"true\" style=\"--dominant-color: #eef1f5;\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"61\" src=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2988e2b2-e396-4a8a-95db-0c1973e5e483-1024x61.png\" alt=\"bitcoin\" class=\"has-transparency wp-image-84544\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2988e2b2-e396-4a8a-95db-0c1973e5e483-1024x61.png 1024w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2988e2b2-e396-4a8a-95db-0c1973e5e483-300x18.png 300w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2988e2b2-e396-4a8a-95db-0c1973e5e483-768x46.png 768w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2988e2b2-e396-4a8a-95db-0c1973e5e483-1536x92.png 1536w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2988e2b2-e396-4a8a-95db-0c1973e5e483-150x9.png 150w, https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2988e2b2-e396-4a8a-95db-0c1973e5e483.png 1902w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin does not need perfect news to move higher. It does however, need steady buyers, better follow-through, and fewer macro shocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"So_will_Bitcoin_rise_again\"><\/span>So, will Bitcoin rise again?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The numbers say yes, but the path may not be smooth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Three factors matter most right now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>ETF inflows, to gauge big player sentiment<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Geopolitical narratives<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Technical confirmation<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead of reacting to every candle, focus on flows, sentiment, and structure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To learn more about <a href=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/bitcoin-down-today\/\">crypto market<\/a> dynamics, explore <a href=\"https:\/\/mudrex.com\/learn\/\">Mudrex Learn<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@Mudrex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Mudrex YouTube channel<\/a> for deeper insights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FAQs\"><\/span>FAQs<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n<div id=\"rank-math-faq\" class=\"rank-math-block\">\n<div class=\"rank-math-list \">\n<div id=\"faq-question-1773145677324\" class=\"rank-math-list-item\">\n<h3 class=\"rank-math-question \"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Will_Bitcoin_rise_again_in_2026\"><\/span>Will Bitcoin rise again in 2026?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"rank-math-answer \">\n\n<p>Bitcoin still has support from ETF demand and long-term macro narratives, but near-term moves remain headline-sensitive.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"faq-question-1773145689161\" class=\"rank-math-list-item\">\n<h3 class=\"rank-math-question \"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_is_BTC_reacting_to_war_and_oil_headlines\"><\/span>Why is BTC reacting to war and oil headlines?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"rank-math-answer \">\n\n<p>Current market coverage indicates that crypto is still moving with risk sentiment, especially when oil swings sharply.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"faq-question-1773145710367\" class=\"rank-math-list-item\">\n<h3 class=\"rank-math-question \"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Do_ETF_flows_matter_for_Bitcoin_price\"><\/span>Do ETF flows matter for Bitcoin price?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"rank-math-answer \">\n\n<p>Yes, because they show institutional sentiment, and absorb dips to support upside.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"faq-question-1773145726299\" class=\"rank-math-list-item\">\n<h3 class=\"rank-math-question \"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_this_a_good_time_to_buy_Bitcoin\"><\/span>Is this a good time to buy Bitcoin?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"rank-math-answer \">\n\n<p>Assessments must be made about time horizon, risk tolerance, and whether readers are averaging in or chasing momentum.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"faq-question-1773145741696\" class=\"rank-math-list-item\">\n<h3 class=\"rank-math-question \"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_should_traders_watch_next\"><\/span>What should traders watch next?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"rank-math-answer \">\n\n<p>ETF flow consistency, headlines, BTC reclaiming stronger resistance and momentum confirmation on the charts. <\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Will Bitcoin Rise Again? Bitcoin [BTC] has moved up from recent lows, but we&#8217;re not quite out of the waters yet. There\u2019s some support, but the headlines are still calling the shots in the short term. Here&#8217;s the rundown. TL;DR Why Is Bitcoin Not Flying Yet? Headlines take the lead At the time of writing, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":84546,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","_import_markdown_pro_load_document_selector":0,"_import_markdown_pro_submit_text_textarea":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1890],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Will Bitcoin rise again in 2026? Price Moves, ETFs, Macro View - Mudrex Learn<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Will Bitcoin rise again? 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