Synopsis
- The upcoming week is filled with important macroeconomic events that play a significant role in shaping the broader financial as well as cryptocurrency market. These events include the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls data and ECB’s President Christine Lagarde’s speech.
- If the non-farm payroll numbers are better than expectations, it is usually a good sign for the markets. In case they are lower, it is generally troublesome for the market.
- Bitcoin might experience an upward correction, with the potential to reach a $29,900 resistance level if market conditions favor it.
- Lido DAO mainnet upgrade scheduled for 31st May is anticipated to be positive for its token.
Key Observations
The cryptocurrency market is expected to remain volatile over the coming week. From a technical analysis standpoint, Bitcoin’s behavior suggests possible correction in the week ahead.
Analysis
The forthcoming week holds several significant economic events, including US Nonfarm Payrolls data release, ECB’s President Lagarde speech, EUR Retail Sales data, and CHF Gross Domestic Product release.
First, the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls data will provide insight into the employment figures, excluding the farming industry. Historically, positive data has spurred growth in various sectors, including crypto, as it signifies a healthy economy. If the figures surpass expectations, we could see an upward shift in the market.
Simultaneously, the upcoming speech by Christine Lagarde, the President of the European Central Bank (ECB), will be closely followed by various market participants. Given her influential position in determining short-term interest rates, her comments could have significant ramifications for the crypto market.
If she signals a favorable outlook for economic growth or hints at accommodating monetary policies, the market may respond positively.
In the crypto-specific landscape, an anticipated event is the Lido DAO mainnet upgrade scheduled for 31st May. As a decentralized autonomous organization for staking derivatives, Lido’s update could sway market sentiment and impact the crypto market.
As per technical analysis forecasts, Bitcoin is poised for a potential upward correction. It could reach up to the resistance level of $29,900 under favorable market conditions. However, if the bearish trend persists, we might see Bitcoin retracting to the support level of $26,700.
Deep Dive into the Top Gainer and Loser
We closely analyze the performance of the top 50 coins by market capitalization, and take a closer look at the best and the worst performers of the week.
Top gainer of the week: Arbitrum (ARB) up by 8.81% ⬆️
Arbitrum, an Ethereum Layer 2 scaling solution, has shown impressive gains this week. This is largely due to its launch into an ecosystem with strong fundamentals and a series of positive technical indicators.
Opinion
Fundamental analysis: The fundamental outlook for Arbitrum remains positive. A key driver of this outlook is the accumulation among investors who are taking advantage of the price dump after the airdrop. This has the potential to provide the necessary momentum for ARB to rally again.
Technical analysis: The technical indicators are mostly neutral to bullish. The Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) crossing into the overbought zone signals intense buying pressure, suggesting further potential upside. Moreover, the positive capital inflow indicated by the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and the high number of short positions being liquidated reinforces the bullish momentum.
There is a key resistance level at $1.299. A closing price above this level could spur further gains targeting $1.422 and $1.577. However, failure to break this level might lead to a reversal, pushing the prices down to break the $1.106 support level.
Biggest loser of the week: Algorand (ALGO) down by 6.39% ⬇️
Algorand, also known as ALGO, is a self-sustaining decentralized blockchain network that supports diverse applications. Differing from Bitcoin, Algorand boosts transaction speeds, lowers costs, and avoids energy-intensive mining by utilizing a proof-of-stake blockchain protocol.
Opinion
Fundamental analysis: Despite the recent dip, Algorand’s fundamentals remain strong. The technology behind ALGO, the pure proof-of-stake consensus mechanism, continues to attract investors and partners.
Technical analysis: The majority of oscillator indicators are neutral with some bearishness, and moving average indicators are mostly bearish. These indicators suggest a currently bearish trend. However, the price has recently fixed above the lower boundary of the channel, which could signal an impending price rebound due to the asset being oversold.
Targets for a potential price reversal have been outlined on the chart. If the price continues to hold above the lower boundary of the channel and the oversold condition persists, there is potential for a bullish reversal. However, until such a reversal is confirmed, caution should be exercised.
Conclusion
The upcoming week holds several critical economic events, coupled with significant crypto events, which could influence the crypto market’s course. While Bitcoin appears poised for an upward correction, external factors might impact this trajectory. As always, market participants should monitor these developments closely. The week ahead promises to be eventful and could bring significant opportunities for investors.
