Mudrex Crypto Market Outlook | 18-24 July 2023

image with key highlights of the week's outlook


  • Ripple wins a significant legal battle, but challenges remain.
  • Increased regulatory scrutiny puts pressure on Binance; planned blockchain upgrade adds to concerns.
  • Vanguard joins Blackrock in accumulating Bitcoin mining stocks.
Figure 1: Total Crypto Market Capitalization 

Key Observations

The market has shown resilience amid some significant legal and regulatory events. Ripple’s court victory over the SEC has spurred a boost in confidence, despite potential challenges ahead. However, concerns around Binance and the impending upgrade to its blockchain seem to have put some pressure. A market correction was impending in this case.


Ripple’s Court Victory

Ripple’s victory in a key legal battle against the SEC has provided a positive signal for the market. The court ruling identified institutional sales of XRP by Ripple as securities transactions, aligning with what the crypto market anticipated. 

However, this is a partial summary judgment, and several legal issues are yet to be addressed. As both parties are expected to file appeals, this legal journey may continue to unfold and influence the market sentiment.

Figure 2: Ripple’s tweet after the US Court verdict against the SEC

Regulatory Pressure on Binance

Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, is facing increasing regulatory attention globally, with a potential investigation underway in the UAE. While no significant enforcement actions have been taken yet, the performance of BNB, Binance’s native token, is showing signs of vulnerability. Binance’s plan to upgrade its blockchain to enable emergency freezes has also raised apprehension in the market.

Figure 3: Price action of BNB, native token of Binance

Vanguard and Bitcoin Mining Stocks

Vanguard’s increasing investments in Bitcoin mining stocks present an interesting development. This move is possibly driven by rising BTC prices and mining profitability. However, the implications of such asset managers holding significant stakes in Bitcoin mining companies remain unclear. 

Figure 4: Largest asset managers in the world
  • As Blackrock also holds substantial stakes in Bitcoin miners, the market is speculating on the intentions behind these moves.

Top gainer of the week: Ripple (XRP) up by 57% ⬆️

US Court has ordered the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple to agree to possible settlement dates. The order also stated that the court would not agree to or tolerate any last-second requests for settlement conferences and also told the parties not to expect any adjournments on litigation deadlines. Based on these developments, XRP shot up close to 60%.

Figure 5: XRP technical analysis


Fundamental analysis: In recent times, XRP has been on a consolidation path. Successfully reaching the 50% Fibonacci retracement level on the XRPUSDT chart marks a positive development for the cryptocurrency.

Technical analysis:

This positive news cycle means that significant shorters may prefer to stay clear of XRP for the moment. 

Oscillator indicators: 1 bearish, 8 neutral, 2 bullish

Moving average indicators: 1 bearish, 1 neutral, 13 bullish

Biggest loser of the week: Bitcoin Cash (BCH) down by 14% ⬇️

Figure 6: BCH technical analysis


Fundamental analysis: Bitcoin Cash has experienced a decrease in investor demand following a recent price surge. Long-time holders of the token seem to be cashing in their profits.

Technical analysis:

BCHUSD’s recent price movements paint a bearish picture. Currently, we’re seeing a clear bearish trend in the BCHUSD pair. On the 1-hour chart, BCHUSD shows a distinctive downward trajectory. Recently, a bearish harami candlestick pattern has emerged, confirming the bearish sentiment and pointing to a potential trading opportunity.

Oscillator indicators: 1 bearish, 8 neutral, 2 bullish

Moving Average indicators: 6 bearish, 1 neutral, 8 bullish


The cryptocurrency market continues to be shaped by regulatory actions, court rulings, and strategic investments by large asset managers. Although we recently witnessed a massive rally, we can expect the coming week to remain consolidative.


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