Bitcoin Technical Analysis 29th June: RSI, MACD, Support and Resistance
Bitcoin is trading at $60,000, down -0.55% in the last 24 hours. Key reasons behind the weakness: Sharp sell-off in Tech and AI stocks dragged risk assets lower. Modest Bitcoin ETF outflows continued to weigh on price. Last week’s weaker-than-expected US job data and softer GDP print added fresh concerns about economic slowdown, keeping overall sentiment cautious on crypto.
From a technical perspective: On higher timeframes (HTF), BTC remains in a clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. On lower timeframes (LTF), price is stuck in sideways chop with no strong directional conviction. Momentum is still bearish overall, and sellers remain in control unless a major catalyst appears. Downside risks stay elevated in the near term.
Tech & AI Stock Sell-off: Major tech and AI-related stocks have seen sharp corrections due to profit-taking and concerns over high valuations. Since Bitcoin often moves with risk assets and tech stocks, it is getting dragged lower along with them.
Bitcoin ETF Outflows: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen consistent net outflows in recent weeks. This shows institutions and investors are pulling money out, reducing buying pressure and adding to selling.
Weak US Economic Data: Last week’s softer-than-expected US job data and GDP numbers increased fears of an economic slowdown. This has made investors more cautious toward risk assets like Bitcoin.
Fed Rate Cut Uncertainty: Weak economic data combined with sticky inflation has reduced expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Higher-for-longer rates are generally negative for Bitcoin and other risk assets.
Technical Downtrend: On higher timeframes, Bitcoin is still making lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently in a corrective phase with sellers in control and no strong bullish catalyst visible yet.
Overall Risk-Off Sentiment: A combination of the above factors has created a risk-off environment, where investors are reducing exposure to volatile assets like crypto.
BTC remains under pressure after breaking down from its lower-timeframe range. The trend is bearish, and momentum continues to favour sellers. On higher timeframes it’s dropping with lower highs and lows, while lower timeframes are stuck in sideways chop.
Key levels to watch: • Resistance: $64.4K • Support: $57.3K
Unless Bitcoin reclaims key resistance with strong volume, downside risks remain elevated and further weakness cannot be ruled out in the near term.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis 29th June : RSI, MACD, Support and Resistance
Bitcoin Technical Analysis– RSI
Want to understand the Relative Strength Index (RSI)? Read here.
Timeframe
RSI Value
Signal
1H
53
NEUTRAL
4H
45
NEUTRAL
1D
33
NEUTRAL
RSI values multi-timeframe
Key RSI Levels:
Above 70 = Overbought (potential sell)
Below 30 = Oversold (potential buy)
30-70 = Normal trading range
Bitcoin Technical Analysis– MACD
Want to understand the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)? Read here.
Timeframe
Status
1H
BULLISH
4H
BEARISH
1D
BEARISH
MACD status multi-timeframe
Conclusion
Overall, Bitcoin had a bearish week as sellers remained in control and risk sentiment deteriorated. Continued (though slowing) ETF outflows combined with tech rotation and macro headwinds have led investors to adopt a more cautious approach.
What to Watch
US Unemployment Rate: The biggest macro event this week. A weaker reading could boost rate-cut expectations, while a stronger number may keep markets cautious.
US-Iran Developments: Any renewed tensions or escalation could impact oil prices, inflation expectations, and overall market sentiment.
Staying updated on these evolving factors doesn’t have to be complicated—ourTwitter Page delivers clear, timely insights and real-time alerts to help you navigate the crypto market confidently and effectively.
3 simple steps: 1. Find support & resistance levels on your chart 2. Check RSI & MACD for direction (bullish or bearish) 3. Make a trade:Bullish setup = Buy near support –Bearish setup = Sell near resistance –Neutral setup = Wait for confirmation Always use a stop loss to protect your money if trade goes wrong.
2. What is Support and Resistance?
Support = Price level where Bitcoin bounces UP (buyers step in) Resistance = Price level where Bitcoin bounces DOWN (sellers step in) Example: -If Bitcoin keeps bouncing at $44,000, that’s support -If Bitcoin keeps dropping at $45,000, that’s resistance Traders buy near support and sell near resistance.
3. What is RSI (Relative Strength Index)?
RSI is an indicator that measures how fast and how much the price of Bitcoin changes. It’s scored from 0 to 100. –Above 70 = Bitcoin is overbought (price might drop soon) –Below 30 = Bitcoin is oversold (price might go up soon) –30-70 = Normal trading range Simple analogy: Think of RSI as a fuel tank. Full tank (70+) = time to slow down. Empty tank (<30) = time to fill up.
4. What is MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)?
MACD is a trend-following indicator that shows if Bitcoin momentum is bullish or bearish. –MACD above signal line = Price likely going UP (Bullish) –MACD below signal line = Price likely going DOWN (Bearish) –Expanding bars = Momentum getting stronger –Shrinking bars = Momentum getting weaker Simple analogy: MACD is like a traffic light. Green light = go long, Red light = go short.
Anupam has over 3 years of experience in the crypto industry, having worked with top indian crypto exchanges. He writes about Bitcoin, altcoins, AI, and emerging tech, helping readers understand what’s driving markets and where the digital asset ecosystem is headed.